Noise of the Crowd

On this week’s podcast Keiran Pedley and I discuss the fallout from a hectic week in Westminster. We ask whether a General Election, 2nd referendum or ‘no deal Brexit’ have become more or less likely and explain why politicians claiming that the Tories are ahead in the polls are not telling the full story.

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and I look back at events in a frantic week at Westminster. They debate whether May was right to postpone the meaningful vote, whether a change in leader would have any impact on Brexit negotiations and the prospect of another referendum breaking the parliamentary deadlock.

On this week’s podcast the Polling Matters team, including the returning Rob Vance, discuss evolving public opinion on May’s Brexit deal and what happens if she does not win the ‘meaningful vote’ next month.

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and I look into the implications of this week’s mid-terms in the US and dissect data from Survation and Chris Hanretty suggesting that Brits would vote Remain if there was another referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU.

Elsewhere in the show, I look at what polling tells us about the prospect of a Cameron comeback and Keiran criticises Momentum’s “consultation” of its members about Labour’s Brexit policy – which he claims was nothing of the sort.

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and I discuss the political lay of the land as we approach the budget, what the public think about the economy and our political leaders ability to handle it and how important the economy is in voting intention terms in a Brexit-dominated 2018.

This week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:

In part one, Keiran Pedley is joined by Peter McLeod (Vice President at pollster GQR) to explore what the public think of “Chequers” and what they expect from any Brexit deal May brings back. It turns out that Chequers is more popular than you might think in the right context – but is that the context the Prime Minister’s eventual deal will ultimately be seen in? Keiran and Peter discuss.

In part two, I joined Keiran to discuss how May gets a deal through parliament, if indeed she reaches one. Keiran explains why he is much less positive than he once was and I talked about why pollsters will have a big role to play in how some MPs vote.

On the latest episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran and I discuss some recent polling by Opinium that looks at where Brits place themselves of the left-right political scale, who classes themselves as ‘centrist’ and what they think it means.

On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran and I look at a new report by NatCen suggesting that attitudes to Brexit are shifting and that Brits would vote Remain next time.

Meanwhile, Keiran takes us through some recent polling from Deltapoll on the question of a united Ireland following Brexit and asks whether unionism is too complacent about Northern Ireland’s future in the UK.

Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.

In part one, Keiran and I looked at Trump’s approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP’s prospects in the upcoming midterms. We also looked at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat’s progressive wing.

In part two, we examined a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argued that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, while I looked at whether support for a second vote is increasing.

On this week’s Polling Matters Keiran and I take a different approach to the podcast and look at public opinion on conspiracy theories using some exclusive polling from Opinium.

How many Brits think the earth is flat? Is Elvis alive? Were the moon landings faked? Is Paul dead? Is Nessie real? And how about climate change and chemtrails?

Also on the show, we discuss how Corbyn’s latest troubles might impact the polls and what the public think about Boris Johnson’s recent comments on the Burka.