Polling Matters

Will May reach a Brexit deal and can she get it through parliament? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on October 20th, 2018 by Leo – Be the first to comment

This week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast is split into two parts:

In part one, Keiran Pedley is joined by Peter McLeod (Vice President at pollster GQR) to explore what the public think of “Chequers” and what they expect from any Brexit deal May brings back. It turns out that Chequers is more popular than you might think in the right context – but is that the context the Prime Minister’s eventual deal will ultimately be seen in? Keiran and Peter discuss.

In part two, I joined Keiran to discuss how May gets a deal through parliament, if indeed she reaches one. Keiran explains why he is much less positive than he once was and I talked about why pollsters will have a big role to play in how some MPs vote.

 

Who are the centrists and who do they think they are? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on September 13th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Who are the centrists and who do they think they are? Polling Matters

On the latest episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran and I discuss some recent polling by Opinium that looks at where Brits place themselves of the left-right political scale, who classes themselves as ‘centrist’ and what they think it means.

 

Would Remain win a second referendum and could Brexit lead to a united Ireland? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on September 6th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Would Remain win a second referendum and could Brexit lead to a united Ireland? Polling Matters

On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran and I look at a new report by NatCen suggesting that attitudes to Brexit are shifting and that Brits would vote Remain next time.

Meanwhile, Keiran takes us through some recent polling from Deltapoll on the question of a united Ireland following Brexit and asks whether unionism is too complacent about Northern Ireland’s future in the UK.

 

How does public opinion on Brexit look ahead of party conference season? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on August 30th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on How does public opinion on Brexit look ahead of party conference season? Polling Matters

Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.

In part one, Keiran and I looked at Trump’s approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP’s prospects in the upcoming midterms. We also looked at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat’s progressive wing.

In part two, we examined a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argued that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, while I looked at whether support for a second vote is increasing.

 

What conspiracy theories do Brits believe? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on August 16th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on What conspiracy theories do Brits believe? Polling Matters

On this week’s Polling Matters Keiran and I take a different approach to the podcast and look at public opinion on conspiracy theories using some exclusive polling from Opinium.

How many Brits think the earth is flat? Is Elvis alive? Were the moon landings faked? Is Paul dead? Is Nessie real? And how about climate change and chemtrails?

Also on the show, we discuss how Corbyn’s latest troubles might impact the polls and what the public think about Boris Johnson’s recent comments on the Burka.

 

Are the public turning against Brexit and what do they really think of Communism? Polling Matters

Posted in Bad polling, Politics, Polling Matters on August 2nd, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Are the public turning against Brexit and what do they really think of Communism? Polling Matters

This week’s Polling Matters podcast is split into three parts.

In part one: Keiran and I discuss this week’s Sky Data poll and look at the evidence for whether the public really are turning against Brexit and what this might mean for the debate in Westminster.

In part two: we look at some exclusive Opinium polling on different political systems and ideologies. What do the public think about socialism and capitalism? Is communism really being rehabilitated? And what do the public really understand about the different ideological terms that are often bandied about in the press

In part three: I ask about who pays for polling and how much we should know / pollsters should be made to publish about who pays for their work (see my previous articles about this here).

 

Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far right and the death penalty – Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on July 26th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far right and the death penalty – Polling Matters

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast Keiran and I look at the levels of public support for a no-deal Brexit and how that may factor in to decisions in Westminster.

Also on the podcast, we look at polling on support for the far-right and other potential new parties by YouGov as well as public support for the death penalty in light of Sajid Javid’s decision not to seek assurances that suspected British Jihadis will not face execution when facing trial in the United States.

 

Emergency podcast: Bye bye Boris & what happens next? Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on July 9th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Emergency podcast: Bye bye Boris & what happens next? Polling Matters

On a special episode of the Polling Matters podcast, Keiran and I discuss a momentous 24 hours in Westminster that has seen both David Davis and Boris Johnson resign. We ask what happens next and look at what polling of Tory members by YouGov tells us about the future direction of the Conservative Party and who might come to lead it.

 

Pollsters and hedge funds; Heathrow expansion – Polling Matters

Posted in Climate Sock, Politics, Polling Matters on June 27th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on Pollsters and hedge funds; Heathrow expansion – Polling Matters

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and I look at a recent Bloomberg story investigating links between hedge funds and pollsters on the day of the EU referendum.

We also talk about public opinion on Heathrow and the environment and ask what Blair hopes to achieve with his latest intervention (and why David Cameron seems to be so quiet).

NHS funding, ‘Brexit dividends’ and UK drugs policy – Polling Matters

Posted in Politics, Polling Matters on June 20th, 2018 by Leo – Comments Off on NHS funding, ‘Brexit dividends’ and UK drugs policy – Polling Matters

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and I look at public opinion on the NHS as it hits 70 years old in light of the government’s promise to pump in extra cash. Keiran takes us through what the public think of the policy and whether they would accept tax rises to pay for it alongside data on how perceptions of the quality of care provided by the NHS have changed over time.

Later in the show, I look at public opinion on UK drug laws, especially those related to cannabis as the government looks to change the law and discusses how policy might shift in the future. I also raises the important distinction between ‘decimalisation’ and ‘legalisation’ that appears to go over many commentators heads.

Finally, we briefly look at US public opinion on the Trump administration’s policy of separate children of immigrants from their parents at the US border. Spoiler alert: it’s very unpopular.